Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Global Datanote: Manufacturing PMI, ASEAN, March

  • In one line: The nascent improvement is far from comprehensive.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 2 April 2025

The nascent improvement in ASEAN manufacturing is far from comprehensive

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, March 2025

  • In one line: Stamp duty changes halt house price inflation in March, but it will accelerate again.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, March 2025

  • In one line: Tariffs will keep manufacturing output falling for the forseeable future.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

Global Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, February, 2025

  • In one line: A poor headline, but the underlying trend remains positive.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, February, 2025

  • In one line: A poor headline, but the underlying trend remains positive.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, February 2025

In one line:  A new record low; another data point for ECB hawks. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: PMI, Switzerland, March 2025

In one line: Our PM composite PMI points to another solid increase in GDP in Q1.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

2 April 2025 Global Monitor BoJ to stand pat in May, even after food inflation spices things up in April

  • US - Liberation Day to reduce uncertainty, but at what inflation cost?
  • EUROZONE - Data signal an ECB pause in April, ‘Liberation Day’ permitting
  • UK - Cuts and creative accounting will restore the fiscal headroom
  • CHINA+ - The BoJ to focus on tariff impact, as food inflation builds again
  • EM ASIA - Unsurprisingly, Taiwan’s central bank continues to hold rates
  • LATAM - Tough days for Banxico demand bold monetary policy action

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

2 April 2025 LatAm Monitor

  • BanRep left rates on hold, due to persistent inflation pressures despite mixed progress…
  • …But new Board members boost the doves’ influence, hinting at potential rate cuts ahead, COP permitting.
  • Chile’s IMACEC highlights temporary setbacks in the recovery, but fundamentals point to sustained growth.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

2 April 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor Ignore softness of India's February core IP; real headwinds await

  • Core production growth in India fell to a five-month low in February, due partly to residual seasonality.
  • The plunge in refined petroleum products output growth is real though, with more softness likely.
  • The bright spots—steel and cement—should soon feel the pinch of a waning public infra drive.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

2 April 2025 China+ Monitor Korean export uptick unlikely to be sustained amid trade risks

  • Korean export growth accelerated in March, but due to post-holiday effects and front-loading or orders.
  • The manufacturing PMI slipped in March, despite a robust new export order reading.
  • Firms are worried about tariff hikes and political risks, with the impeachment ruling due on Friday.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

2 April 2025 Eurozone Monitor Data signal an ECB pause in April, 'Liberation Day' permitting

  • We still think the data support the idea of an ECB pause in April, but what will happen on tariffs today? 
  • EZ core inflation fell nicely in March, but it will snap back in April as Easter effects reverse. 
  • Services activity in Switzerland is coming off the boil at the start of the year.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

2 April 2025 UK Monitor GDP likely unchanged in February as manufacturing drags on growth

  • We expect zero GDP growth in February as services and construction offset falling industrial output.
  • Risks to our call are broadly balanced, though manufacturing is subject to tariff-driven uncertainty.
  • We continue to forecast 0.3% quarter-to-quarter GDP growth in Q1.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, March 2025

In one line: We now see the March EZ HICP up by 0.7% m/m, and by 2.2% y/y.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EM Asia Datanote: Core Industries, India, February

  • In one line: Blame mainly an unsurprising reversal of the January jump in petroleum products.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

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