Pantheon Macroeconomics - Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Pantheon Publications

21 May 2019 The Money Supply is a Poor Guide to U.S. Growth it's Different in Europe

We have been asked recently why we rarely talk about the signal from the U.S. money supply numbers, in contrast to the emphasis we give to real M1 growth in our forecasts for economic growth in both the Eurozone and China.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

21 May 2019 Japan's Q1 GDP Rose for the Wrong Reasons Tax Hike Still Questionable

On the face of it, Japanese GDP came thumping home in Q1, rising 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, after the 0.4% increase in Q4.... More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

21 May 2019 EZ Capital Outflows Should Pick Up in Q2, Mainly in Debt Markets

The Eurozone's external surplus fell further at the end of Q1, and has now fully reversed the jump at the start of the year.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

21 May 2019 Chile's Economy Struggled in Q1, and the Near-Term Outlook is Poor

Chile's Q1 GDP report, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy weakened sharply at the beginning of the year, due mainly to temporary shocks, including adverse weather conditions.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

21 May 2019 The MPC Will Shun its Strategy of Waiting for Brexit Uncertainty to Fade

The chances of the first phase of the Brexit saga concluding soon declined sharply last week.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

EZ Datanote: Current Account, Eurozone, March

In one line: Core inflation will fall back this month; construction jumped in Q1, but a setback looms in Q2.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Datanotes  Download

U.S. Datanote: Michigan Consumer Sentiment, May

In one line: The consumer is just fine; recent softness in spending is temporary.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Datanotes  Download

20 May 2019 Banxico Maintains its Cautious Tone as In ation Spikes Temporarily

Mexico's recent rebound in inflation and a more volatile financial environment, due to increasing global trade tensions, forced Banxico to keep its policy rate unchanged at 8.25% last Thursday.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

20 May 2019 Soaring Sales at Discounters Explain the Strong Redbook, Mostly

We have been puzzled in recent months by the sudden and substantial divergence between the Redbook chainstore sales numbers and the official data.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

20 May 2019 CPI Inflation Likely Exceeded the MPC's Expectations in April

We expect April's consumer price figures, due on Wednesday, to show that CPI inflation leapt to 2.3%, from 1.9% in March, exceeding the MPC's 2.2% forecast in the latest Inflation Report.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

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pantheon macroeconomics, pantheon, macroeconomic, macroeconomics, independent analysis, independent macroeconomic research, independent, analysis, research, economic intelligence, economy, economic, economics, economists, , Ian Shepherdson, financial market, macro research, independent macro research