Pantheon Macroeconomics - Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Pantheon Publications

U.K. Webinar - Q1, 2019

Will Brexit Puncture the MPC's Tightening Cycle?... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Webinar  Download

24 January 2019 What's Brewing Under the Surface of the BoJ's Nonchalance

We suspect that under the calm surface of the BoJ, a major decision is being debated.... More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

24 January 2019 Mr. Draghi Won't Help Already Dovishly-Inclined Markets Today

The ECB will deliver a carbon copy of its December meeting today, at least in terms of the main headlines.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

24 January 2019 Slower Growth won't Necessarily Loosen the Labor Market Much

One of the arguments we hear in favor of an endless Fed pause--in other words, the cyclical tightening is over--is that GDP growth is set to slow markedly this year, to only 2% or so.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

24 January 2019 Future Fiscal Stimulus Is Still Secure, Despite Worse Borrowing Data

On the face of it, the trend in public borrowing deteriorated sharply late last year. In the three months to December, borrowing on the main "PSNB ex ." measure, which excludes banks owned by the public sector, was a trivial £0.3B, or 1.6%, lower than in the same months of 2017.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

23 January 2019 Mortgage Applications Point to Rebounding Home Sales in Q1

The weekly mortgage applications numbers have been wild recently, but our first chart shows that the trend underneath the noise is solid.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

23 January 2019 Ignore Korea's Consensus-Beating Q4 GDP Print it's not Sustainable

Korea's preliminary Q4 GDP report was stronger than nearly all forecasters, including ourselves, expected.... More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

23 January 2019 More of the Same From German Bund Yields in 2019

German 10-year yields have been trading according to a simple rule of thumb since 2017, namely, anything around 0.6% has been a buy, and 0.2%, or below, has been a sell.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

23 January 2019 Unemployment in Mexico Ended Q4 Badly Uncertainty is Biting

We expect the Mexican economy to continue growing close to 2% year-over-year in 2019, driven mainly by consumption, but constrained by weak investment, due to prolonged uncertainty related to trade.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

23 January 2019 The MPC Won't Risk Letting the Labour Market Overheat

November's labour market data were the last before the MPC's February meeting, when it will conduct its annual assessment of the supply side of the economy.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

*January 2019 - EZ Economic Chartbook*

The R-Word is Once Again Being Spoken in the EZ...But it Probably Won't be that Bad, at Least not in H1... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Chartbook  Download

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