Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

PM Datanote: Manufacturing PMI ,Korea, October

In one line: Renewed weakness in Korean manufacturing sector in October; Trade/ investment deal eases outlook risks 

PM Datanote: Exports, Korea, October

In one line: Semiconductors and South America shipments drive Korea’s WDA export rebound.

China+ Datanote: Exports, Korea, November

In one line: Korea’s resilient November exports powered by robust semiconductor demand

China+ Datanote: Official Non-Mfg PMI, China, November

In one line: China’s official non-manufacturing PMI dips below 50 for the first time since Covid reopening

China+ Datanote: Official Mfg PMI, China, November

In one line: China’s NBS manufacturing PMI shows mild improvement, but core industries cherished by policymakers weakens in November.

2 December 2025 US Monitor Is a 25bp easing in the funds rate next week now locked in?

  • Investors see a near-90% chance of the FOMC easing  next week, back to levels before October’s meeting.
  • Sometimes, the Chair moves markets during the  blackout via the WSJ, but that seems unlikely now.
  • Manufacturing payrolls have fallen materially in 2025,  but likely aren’t a canary in the coalmine this time.

2 December 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile enters Q4 with firmer growth; political clarity will boost confidence

  • The mining rebound and resilient domestic demand
    lift activity in Chile; the near-term outlook is benign…
  • …Improving sentiment and rising capex point to firmer
    momentum heading into early 2026.
  • Political clarity and expectations of fiscal discipline
    under a Kast presidency reinforce investor confidence.

2 December 2025 China+ Monitor China's manufacturers hunker down amid sluggish domestic demand

  • China’s manufacturing PMIs indicate domestic  demand remains lacklustre. 
  • A rebound in builders’ sentiment offers hope that the  policy-bank funding support will gain purchase. 
  • China is likely to opt for targeted support, like expanded consumer subsidies at this month’s Politburo meeting

2 December 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor ASEAN's PMI still flying, but we see a few big holes in this story

  • ASEAN’s PMI rose to a 38-month high in November, but a few of the drivers are questionable.
  • Indonesian exports missed badly in October, but  commodities should be more supportive next year.
  • Food disinflation is back in Indonesia, dragging the  headline rate below the consensus for November

2 December 2025 Eurozone Monitor Swiss and Italian GDP recovering; their fortunes will diverge in 2026

  • Italian GDP was held back in Q3 by another drop in inventories; these should rebound next year…
  • ...Growth will pick up in 2026 as the outlook for net trade is also now brightening.
  • In Switzerland, GDP will bounce back in Q4 from the drop in Q3, but growth will slow next year.

2 December 2025 UK Monitor Pre-Budget worries creep into the money and credit data

  • Consumers added to their savings and took on less credit in October, as the Budget approached.
  • Bank lending to firms continues to rise year-over-year,  but net external finance raised by PNFCs dropped.
  • The housing-market data remain solid; mortgage  approvals eased only slightly and transactions rose.

Global Datanote: RatingDog Manufacturing PMI, China, November 2025

In one line: RatingDog PMI stung by waning domestic demand, despite buoyant overseas orders

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 December 2025: China's domestic demand stalling

RatingDog PMI stung by waning domestic demand, despite buoyant overseas orders
Korean manufacturing index treading water






Global Datanote: Trade, Indonesia, October 2025

  • In one line: Export growth finally comes back down to earth; 2027 should be a bit better.

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 1 December 2025

ASEAN’s PMI strengthens to a 38-month high
Indonesian export growth finally comes back down to earth; 2027 should be a bit better
The turn in rising food inflation in Indonesia is here

UK Datanote: UK Budget, November 2025

  • In one line: Lower 2026 inflation, but delayed fiscal consolidation lacks credibility and gives the MPC little reason to cut 2-year ahead inflation forecast.

November 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

LATAM ECONOMY SLOWS AS DOMESTIC DEMAND SOFTENS

  • POLITICAL NOISE AND EXTERNAL UNCERTAINTY DOMINATE
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence