- In one line: Banxico cuts again but strikes a cautious tone.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: More food disinflation to come in May; the 2025 consensus remains far too high.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- US - Inflation outlook little changed by China deal, but exports will be firmer
- EUROZONE - The US-China trade deal is worth less than markets believe
- UK - MPC preview: dovish shift, but not as much as the market expected
- CHINA+ - China considering a major overhaul of its housing-market model
- EM ASIA - Philippines’ Q1 wasn’t that bad but may be as good as it gets for 2025
- LATAM - Brazil’s COPOM sticks to the script but signals a long pause
ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: Inflation steady in April, but underlying pressures persist, for now.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Underlying pressures remain in check, despite a bad start to Q2.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Disinflation resumes, and the near-term outlook remains benign.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: COPOM slows pace; signals prolonged hold on rates.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- US - Uncertainty over tariffs hasn’t killed jobs yet, but their imposition will hurt
- EUROZONE - Soft headline inflation will pave the way for a 1.75% depo-rate by July
- UK - MPC preview: all about the likely new downside scenario
- CHINA+ - US and China edge closer to trade talks after back-channel signals
- EM ASIA - Taiwan’s GDP gets a boost from “Liberation Day” tariff chaos
- LATAM - Mexico narrowly escapes recession, but the outlook is far from rosy
ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: Q1 ends on a strong note, but growth set to slow.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
In one line: Inflation held steady, but declines are coming; we are adding a July ECB rate cut.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: Electricity discounts are now well and truly a thing of the past.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: Surprise rate cut signals cautious support for the recovery.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Tariffs distort the numbers, but underlying growth was already slowing in Q1
Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)Global
- In one line: Agricultural rebound masks broad-based weakness.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Compelled by the US’ tariff war, and allowed for by a resumption of sub-1% inflation.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: The BCCh holds fire, as global risks intensify.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- US - Payroll growth is unlikely to have slowed decisively as soon as April
- EUROZONE - PMIs sink as domestic demand falters; EZ–US trade surplus jumps
- UK - Wages stay strong and inflation heading to 3.5% in April
- CHINA+ - Chinese policymakers keep heads down, focusing on domestic issues
- EM ASIA - Easter rewind: the start of tougher times for Indonesian exports
- LATAM - Persistent inflation pressures in Brazil challenge COPOM’s roadmap
ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: Capping off an unremarkable Q1.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
In one line: Trade wars are not good for firm morale.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
