Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

9 September 2024 China+ Monitor PBoC hints at RRR cut, even though it doesn't make sense

  • A PBoC official on Thursday hinted that an RRR cut is imminent...
  • ...even though the bond market’s performance in August indicates ample liquidity.
  • A likely cut to existing-mortgage rates won’t move the needle on consumption.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

6 September 2024 China+ Monitor BoJ intent on policy normalisation, even if wage growth slows

  • Japan’s nominal wage growth held up well in July, thanks to both bonuses and regular pay rises.
  • Headline wage growth is likely to fade in the coming months, but that won’t shift the BoJ.
  • The timing of the BoJ’s next rate hike is dependent on its perception of market risk.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 5 September 2024: Japan's wage surge propelled by bonuses

Japan's wage surge largely propelled by bonuses, but regular pay also making gains

Duncan WrigleyChina+

5 September 2024 China+ Monitor China's services firms cut prices, despite rising costs and activity

  • China’s August services PMIs indicate steady demand growth, but activity was hit by bad weather.
  • Services firms cut prices, in response to fierce competition, despite rising costs.
  • Consumers remain much more keen to spend on tourism rather than big-ticket items or housing.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 4 September 2024: Severe competition drives services price cuts

Severe competition drives services price cuts in China, despite resilient demand

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: Caixin manufacturing PMI, China, August

Caixin headline manufacturing index makes only minor revival, dragged by sinking new export orders 

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 2 September 2024:Caixin manufacturing index still at low level

Caixin manufacturing index still at low level, despite modest uptick
Korea's manufacturing index robust, but export orders slip

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: Exports, Korea, August

In one line: Korea’s exports rebound on a WDA basis despite slowing headline growth in August.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: Official Non-Mfg PMI, China, August

In one line: China’s services sector rebounds after July’s bad weather, while construction index continues to dive.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: Official Mfg PMI, China, August

In one line: China's manufacturing sector hit by rapidly weakening demand in August

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 30 August 2024

In one line: Tokyo consumer inflation surprises on the upside, backing BoJ’s decision to hike.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 27 August 2024

Stagnant profit growth amid China's sluggish demand and ample capacity

China’s MLF rate was unchanged as expected

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: MLF, China, August

In one line: China’s MLF rate was unchanged as expected

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: National CPI, Japan, July

In one line: Japan's inflation remains steady in July as energy prices rebound and core-core inflation eases

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 23 August 2024

Japan's inflation remains steady in July as energy prices rebound and core-core inflation eases

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 22 August 2024

BoK holds rate steady on financial stability worries; Japan's flash PMIs indicate better growth momentum in August, especially in services

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: Flash Manufacturing PMI, Japan, August

In one line: Japan’s manufacturing activity shrinks at a slower pace in August, thanks to improvement in output and employment

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: BoK Decision, Korea, August

In one line: The Bank of Korea is in no rush to cut rates, likely to start its easing cycle in Q4

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 21 August 2024

Korea’s 20-day export growth fueled by lumpy ship exports and renewed EU demand.

Japan’s July export growth boosted by semiconductors gains and mixed regional demand

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: Exports, Japan, July

In one line: Japan’s July export growth boosted by semiconductors gains and mixed regional demand

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

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Keywords for: China+ Documents

independent macro research, China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,