Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor Duncan Wrigley

7 December 2023 China+ Monitor China's Service Activity Trending Lower Amid Soft Sentiment

  • China’s services PMIs diverged in November, but this is probably a blip in a cooling trend this year.
  • The graduate jobs market is likely still weak, if slightly better than last year.
  • Consumer confidence has waned since the initial reopening surge in Q1.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

6 December 2023 China+ Monitor Cooling Tokyo CPI Should Provide Some Relief to the BoJ

  • Tokyo consumer inflation fell 0.6pp to 2.6% year- over-year in November...
  • ...And core inflation excluding fresh food dipped to 2.3%, close to the BoJ’s 2% target.
  • The downward revision to Japan’s final services PMI indicates slowing growth, despite robust tourism.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

1 December 2023 China+ Monitor Chinese Manufacturing Reports Weakening Demand

  • China’s November manufacturing PMI was hit by fading demand, while output continues to rise.
  • But the weakness is mainly in materials processing, despite rising construction activity...
  • ...Domestic demand for equipment and high-tech manufacturing is growing.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

28 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Economic Rebalancing Strategy Informs Market Direction

  • The CNY has appreciated thanks to USD weakness but also a warmer tone in U.S.-China relations.
  • The tech SME BSE index has soared almost 50% this month, aligning with China’s rebalancing theme.
  • The developer “whitelist” is a crucial step on the long, bumpy path to resolving the property sector’s woes.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

21 November 2023 China+ Monitor China Holds Lending Rates Steady, Relying Instead on Fiscal Support

  • China’s benchmark lending rates were unchanged in November, in line with the MLF rate last week.
  • Policymakers are seemingly using fiscal stimulus to stabilise growth, thus allowing confidence to rebuild.
  • Monetary policy will probably continue to play an accommodative role—behind fiscal policy—in 2024.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

16 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Recovery Making Painfully Slow Progress

  • China’s domestic demand rose at a sluggish pace in October, while production grew faster.
  • Upticks in retail sales of autos and mobile phones are bright spots.
  • The PBoC injected RMB600B of MLF funds yesterday, enabling government-bond issuance.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence