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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

China+ Datanote: National CPI, Japan, November

Japan’s inflation slows in November, thanks to easing food and core prices

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 22 DECEMBER 2023

Japan National CPI slows sharply in November as cost-push factors ease

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

22 December 2023 China+ Monitor Lumpy Exports of Vessels and Chips Drive Korean Shipments Higher

  • Korea’s 20-day exports rose sharply in December on base effects, and jumps in vessel and chip exports.
  • Exports to China and Hong Kong continue to recover, while shipments to the EU tanked.
  • Any improvement in Korea’s exports hinges on how sustained the ICT rebound and China’s recovery are. 

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: 20-Day Exports, Korea, December

Korean 20-day exports accelerate on the back of base effects and lumpy shipments of hi-tech vessels and semiconductors

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 21 DECEMBER 2023

Korean 20-day exports accelerate on the back of base effects and lumpy shipments of hi-tech vessels and semiconductors

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

21 December 2023 China+ Monitor China Keeps Lending Rates Steady, As Fiscal Policy Is in the Driver's Seat

  • The PBoC kept one-and five-year LPRs steady in December, after standing pat on MLF rates earlier.
  • Japan’s exports dipped back into negative growth in November following two months of expansion.
  • Exports to the US and EU slowed significantly, while car exports continue to grow, albeit less strongly.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 20 DECEMBER 2023

China keeps lending rates steady; Japan's exports shrink for the first time in 3 months

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote: BoJ Policy Decision, Japan, December

The BoJ stays put as inflation slows and currency pressure eases

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 19 DECEMBER 2023

The BoJ stays put as inflation slows and currency pressure eases

Duncan WrigleyChina+

20 December 2023 China+ Monitor BoJ Not Shifting Its Policy Stance As Inflation Slows

  • The BoJ announced no change to its easy policy settings yesterday.
  • Falling U.S. yields have eased pressure on the yen, lessening the urgency of a BoJ policy shift.
  • The December flash PMIs indicate falling manufacturing demand, but resilient services activity.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

18 December 2023 China+ Monitor China's Recovery Makes Glacial Progress in November

  • November data show China’s consumption demand stagnating as winter closes in.
  • The headline jump in industrial output is misleading, driven by utilities and base effects.
  • A sharp fall in existing-home prices likely indicates a supply surge as investors offload proper ties.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: Flash manufacturing PMI, Japan, December

Japanese manufacturing activity weakens but services activity rises

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 15 DECEMBER 2023: China remains at a low ebb

China's economy treads water in November; steeper existing home price fall points to market clearing
Japanese manufacturing activity weakens but services rise

Duncan WrigleyChina+

15 December 2023 China+ Monitor China's Government-Bond Issuance Supports Financing Data, Again

  • China’s November financing data indicate weak credit demand outside government-bond issuance.
  • Home demand is stronger than the headlines suggest, but the supply overhang is bigger too.
  • The PBoC is likely to talk up inflationary expectations and provide more assertive liquidity support.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

14 December 2023 China+ Monitor CEWC's Positive Spin on China's Situation Means No Mega-Stimulus

  • The December Central Economic Work Conference confirmed China’s priority is restructuring.
  • China should turn to fiscal policy to expand domestic demand, but don’t expect mega-stimulus.
  • Regulators are likely to support a broader group of property developers, but no quick fix.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, November

  • China’s ebbing money growth is a symptom of soggy credit demand

Duncan WrigleyChina+

12 December 2023 China+ Monitor Soft Inflation Figures Won't Shift China's Policy Direction

  • The December Politburo meeting statement struck a more confident tone on China’s economy.
  • Headline core inflation sank in November, due to food and energy prices, but core inflation was steady.
  • November’s producer prices fell m/m for the first time in four months, indicative of excess supply.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: PPI, China, November

Worsening decline in producer prices is symptomatic of excess supply, amid weak demand at home and abroad

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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Keywords for: China+ Documents

China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence