Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, December 2025

  • In one line: Post-Budget relief boosts manufacturing sentiment, but activity will rise only slowly in 2026.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, November 2025

  • In one line:Budget chaos hits retail sales, but arguably by less than might have been feared.

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, October 2025

  • In one line: Weak house price inflation in October means we cut our Q4 forecast. 

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, November 2025

  • In one line:Fiscal plans rest on shaky foundations.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, December 2025

  • In one line: A post-Budget sigh of relief from consumers, and sentiment has further to rise.

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, December 2025

  • In one line: Cautious cut, we see one more in April, but it will be another closely fought decision. 

December 2025 - China+ Chartbook

  • - CHINA SIGNALS 'STEADY AS SHE GOES' POLICY APPROACH
  • - JAPAN'S STEADY WAGE-HIKE OUTLOOK SHOULD NUDGE BOJ
  • - BOK HOPING FOR RESPITE IN KRW PRESSURE

EZ Datanote: ECB Rate Decision, December 2025

In one line: On hold, chances of further easing still slim to none.

Global Datanote: ECB Rate Decision, December 2025

In one line: On hold, chances of further easing still slim to none.

22 December 2025 US Monitor Birth-death model is only partly to blame for big benchmark revisions

  • Only a small fraction of the big downward benchmark revision to payrolls is due to the birth-death model. 
  • The sectoral mix of the revision implies benchmarking is removing only a few unauthorized workers.
  • The main problem—still unresolved—is the BLS is not obtaining a representative sample of firms.

22 December 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico cuts again, but policy pauses now firmly on the horizon

  • Banxico delivered another rate cut, but firmer inflation and guidance point to pauses ahead.
  • Sticky services inflation and fiscal changes narrow the Bank’s space to ease heading into early 2026.
  • The weakness of growth supports cuts, yet external risks and credibility worries limit the options.

22 December 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor CBC holds rates, with economic growth poised to be best globally

  • Taiwan’s CBC held rates steady last week; strong growth has removed the need for easing…
  • …Still, growth is increasingly precarious, with exports—and GDP—heavily reliant on the AI boom.
  • The silver lining is the CBC can now save a rate cut for when a genuine shock materialises.
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence