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28th May 2026 17:12USWeekly Monitor
  • We look for a 50K increase in May payrolls; the most reliable survey indicators have remained weak.
  • After two straight above-consensus readings, pay- rolls surprise to the downside two-thirds of the time.
  • The weather-related boost to April payrolls will un- wind; expect a drag from strikes and insolvencies too.

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Keywords for: 1 June 2026 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence