Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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2 November 2023 UK Monitor Will Next Year's Increase in the National Living Wage Embed High Inflation?

  • The NLW looks set to rise by about 7% next April, while the Real Living Wage has just been increased by 10%.
  • Fewer people than last year, however, are paid the NLW, and supermarkets may shrink their premium to the NLW.
  • Now ample labour market slack will bear down on pay rises offered to the bulk of employees not on the NLW.

Samuel TombsUK

1 November 2023 UK Monitor BRC and Eurozone Data Point to a Sharp Fall in CPI inflation in October

  • CPI inflation likely fell sharply in October, driven chiefly by the energy component...
  • ...but BRC and Eurozone data are consistent with further declines in food and core goods CPI inflation too.
  • Our headline rate forecast, 4.6%, is 0.3pp below the MPC’s, but is subject to revision as more data come in.

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Money & Credit, September 2023

  • In one line: Mortgage lending remains weak. 

UK

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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence