Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor Samuel Tombs

5 December 2023 UK Monitor High-Frequency Data Show Labour Market Weakening at a Faster Pace

  • Redundancy notifications jumped in mid-November; the rise isn’t just due to one big business failure.
  • Both the Adzuna and Indeed measures of job vacan- cies also have fallen during the fourth quarter.
  • Some measures of employment intentions are robust, but job hoarding might ease as unemployment rises.

Samuel TombsUK

1 December 2023 UK Monitor Forecast Review: Slowing Price and Wage Growth Bring Rate Cuts into View

  • The latest data add weight to our view that a recession will be avoided and Bank Rate will start to fall from Q2.
  • GDP looks set to increase by 0.3% q/q in Q4, with a recovery in real incomes driving household spending.
  • The Autumn Statement has done little to change our forecasts, we still expect fiscal consolidation in 2024/25.

Samuel TombsUK

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U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,