Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

April / May 2025 Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, April 2025

  • In one line: Unwinding tariff front-running widens the trade deficit, while strong import prices suggest firming goods inflation ahead.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, May 2025

  • In one line: Beginning to recover as the Stamp Duty disruption begins to fade.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, May 2025

  • In one line: Employment growth eases according to the REC, but the worst of the jobs slowdown appears over.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GDP April 2025

  • In one line:GDP falls in April but it will rebound as tax-hike-induced effects fade.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, April / May 2025

  • In one line: A dovish release that raises the chance of the MPC easing policy again in August.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, May 2025

  • In one line: BRC retail sales growth stronger than the headline suggests, consumer spending will remain robust.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, May 2025

  • In one line: DMP raises the chance of an August cut, but the survey will likely recover further in June.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, May 2025

  • In one line: Construction PMI should improve only slowly as sentiment remains weak.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, May 2025

  • In one line: Falling interest rates and a healthy consumer will support car registrations.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, May 2025

  • In one line: Growth has been steady, if unspectacular, once we account for the PMI’s excess sensitivity to uncertainty.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, April 2025

  • In one line: Falling saving and more borrowing supporting consumption should keep GDP growth ticking along despite a drag from investment. 

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, May 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing is past the worst as tariff uncertainty fades.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, May 2025

  • In one line: House prices rebound in May, but the stamp-duty-unwind has more room to run.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, April 2025

  • In one line:Q2 GDP is shaping up for a solid gain as retail sales roar into the spring, defying rocketing economic uncertainty.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, May 2025

  • In one line: Uncertainty driven rebound in consumers' confidence points to continued solid retail spending growth.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, May 2025

  • In one line: PMI rebounds as uncertainty fades, and drop in price balances helps the MPC.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, April 2025

  • In one line:Borrowing likely overshot the OBR’s projections in April, we still expect tax rises by the end of the year.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, March 2025

  • In one line: House prices jump in March as buyers rush to beat stamp duty, but we expect a partial unwind in the coming months.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, April 2025

  • In one line: Inflation should run around 3.5% for the rest of the year, although an Easter boost means the April headline exaggerates the strength a little.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, March 2025

  • In one line: Small boost from tariff-front running, which likely continued as President Trump pushed back reciprocal tariffs by 90-days.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,