Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

April / May 2025

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, April / May 2025

  • In one line: A dovish release that raises the chance of the MPC easing policy again in August.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, May 2025

  • In one line: BRC retail sales growth stronger than the headline suggests, consumer spending will remain robust.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, May 2025

  • In one line: DMP raises the chance of an August cut, but the survey will likely recover further in June.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, May 2025

  • In one line: Construction PMI should improve only slowly as sentiment remains weak.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, May 2025

  • In one line: Falling interest rates and a healthy consumer will support car registrations.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, May 2025

  • In one line: Growth has been steady, if unspectacular, once we account for the PMI’s excess sensitivity to uncertainty.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, April 2025

  • In one line: Falling saving and more borrowing supporting consumption should keep GDP growth ticking along despite a drag from investment. 

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, May 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing is past the worst as tariff uncertainty fades.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, May 2025

  • In one line: House prices rebound in May, but the stamp-duty-unwind has more room to run.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, April 2025

  • In one line:Q2 GDP is shaping up for a solid gain as retail sales roar into the spring, defying rocketing economic uncertainty.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, May 2025

  • In one line: Uncertainty driven rebound in consumers' confidence points to continued solid retail spending growth.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, May 2025

  • In one line: PMI rebounds as uncertainty fades, and drop in price balances helps the MPC.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, April 2025

  • In one line:Borrowing likely overshot the OBR’s projections in April, we still expect tax rises by the end of the year.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, May 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity remains weak according to the CBI, it will remain so for some time to come.

Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, March 2025

  • In one line: House prices jump in March as buyers rush to beat stamp duty, but we expect a partial unwind in the coming months.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, April 2025

  • In one line: Inflation should run around 3.5% for the rest of the year, although an Easter boost means the April headline exaggerates the strength a little.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, March 2025

  • In one line: Small boost from tariff-front running, which likely continued as President Trump pushed back reciprocal tariffs by 90-days.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GDP March 2025

  • In one line:Fading consumer caution will keep GDP ticking along.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, March / April 2025

  • In one line: Gradually easing labour market justifies further gradual rate cuts.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, April 2025

  • In one line: Easter distorts the BRC, but look through that and retail sales volumes are still rising strongly.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,