Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Weekly Monitor

27 November 2023 LatAm Monitor Will a Stronger-Than-Expected Economy in Q3 Scare Off Banxico?

  • Mexico’s economy did well in Q3 due chiefly to stronger services, but the good news won’t last.
  • Growth momentum is easing; higher borrowing costs are triggering a slowdown in consumption.
  • Interest rate cuts are coming, as the minutes of the last meeting suggest, but in Q4?

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

20 November 2023 LatAm Monitor Colombia's Economy Avoids a Technical Recession, Just

  • Colombia’s economy dodged a technical recession in Q3, but growth prospects remain gloomy.
  • Elevated political uncertainty and stiflingly high interest rates continue to drag down investment.
  • Conditions likely will improve in Q1, as BanRep starts to ease rates, but Petro’s policy will remain a threat.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

13 November 2023 LatAm Monitor Banxico Finally Blinks, Opening the Door to Rate Cuts Pretty Soon

  • Banxico kept interest rates on hold, as widely expected, but started to lay the ground for rate cuts.
  • Falling inflation and a dovish Fed have the potential to open the door to rate cuts as early as next month.
  • Inflation continues to fall, and we are confident that underlying pressures will remain subdued.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

6 November 2023 LatAm Monitor COPOM to Maintain Pace of Cuts, but Geopolitical Noise is a Threat

  • Brazil’s COPOM cut the Selic rate by 50bp, and will keep this pace, as global risks are now a threat.
  • A faster easing cycle is needed as the economy struggles and inflation remains in check.
  • COPOM will be more dovish in Q1, potentially allowing bigger cuts, assuming the fiscal situation is benign.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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Latin America Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence