Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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23 Dec 2020 Inflation Surprises to the Downside in Brazil, Covid-19 Remains a Threat

Brazil's economic outlook for next year is positive, due mainly to still-low inflation, which will allow the BCB to keep low interest rates for longer.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Inflation IPCA-15, Brazil, December 2020

In one line: Food prices-related pressures remain, but they are starting to ease.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Dec 2020 11:36Latin America

22 Dec 2020 The Vaccine is arriving in LatAm, but the Near-Term Outlook is Grim

The pandemic is worsening in most of LatAm, triggering a new wave of localised lockdown measures and curfews in order to stop the spread

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Mexico Retail Sales, Mexico, October 2020

In one line: A bad start to Q4, but November will be better.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Dec 2020 08:25Latin America

21 Dec 2020 BanRep Hold Rates in Split Decision, Peru's Recovery Continues

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Friday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. This was the third consecutive meeting concluding with no change in rates, but...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

18 Dec 2020 Banxico Misses Another Chance, will Argentina's Woes Continue

Mexican policymakers voted by three to two to keep the main rate on hold at 4.25%, its lowest level since early 2006, despite falling inflation, better external conditions, the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:30Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

LatAm Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru 2020

In one line: On hold, and the dovish bias prevails.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Dec 2020 11:03Latin America

11 Dec 2020 Brazil's Central Bank is Becoming Uneasy About Inflation Prospects

Covid-induced spikes in some inflation components in Brazil, particularly food, are clouding the outlook for next year, and have turned the BCB's policy board--...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, October 2020

In one line: A solid start to Q4, but the outlook is complicating.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 11:40Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, November 2020

In one line: On hold for the foreseeable future, but the forward guidance will be removed soon.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 11:40Latin America

9 Dec 2020 Rising Food Prices are Clouding Brazil's Near-Term Inflation Outlook

Yesterday's inflation report for Brazil confirmed that headline inflation remains relatively stable, on an historic context, but Covid-induced spikes in some components...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: NFIB small business survey, November 2020

In one line: NFIB members don't like Covid or President-elect Biden, or both.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 11:35Latin America

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