Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

14 November 2023 LatAm Monitor Peru's BCRP Eyes Bolder Rate Cuts; Colombia's Disinflation Consolidates

  • Peru’s BCRP stuck to the script and cut rates by 25bp last week, but we do not rule out stronger moves.
  • Colombia’s inflation figures for October support the case for the easing cycle to start next month.
  • Sluggish demand, easing indexation, less political risk and the COP’s stability will bring inflation down.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

13 November 2023 LatAm Monitor Banxico Finally Blinks, Opening the Door to Rate Cuts Pretty Soon

  • Banxico kept interest rates on hold, as widely expected, but started to lay the ground for rate cuts.
  • Falling inflation and a dovish Fed have the potential to open the door to rate cuts as early as next month.
  • Inflation continues to fall, and we are confident that underlying pressures will remain subdued.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, October, 2023

  • In one line: Disinflation, at the headline level, remains fully on track.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

10 November 2023 LatAm Monitor Fiscal Uncertainty Still the Main Threat to Brazil's Retail Sector

  • Brazil’s retail sector ended Q3 on a solid footing, but growth momentum will continue to slow.
  • Chile’s disinflation continues, leaving the door open to further rate cuts as the economy struggles.
  • The major threat in the very near term is politics, but calm will emerge after the storm.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

9 November 2023 LatAm Monitor Geopolitical Risk Easing the Pain, at the Margin

  • Brazil — Global uncertainty to remain the key driver 
  • Argentina — Fluctuating on the political news
  • Colombia — Subdued despite better politics

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, September, 2023

  • In one line: A solid finish to Q3, but the near-term outlook remains difficult.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

8 November 2023 LatAm Monitor Colombia's BanRep to Cut Rates Soon, as the Economy Falters

  • Colombia’s BanRep will likely cut rates very soon, as inflation continues to fall consistently.
  • Increased borrowing costs are dampening domestic demand growth, despite BanRep’s liquidity boost.
  • The labour market is already showing signs of fatigue, contrary to some hawkish Board members’ views.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,