Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic

20 Jan 2021 Colombia's Recovery Continues, but the Second Wave will Hurt in Q1

Colombia's economic recovery continued throughout mid-Q4, according to data released on Monday, but momentum is fading, and the Q1 outlook is deteriorating rapidly,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Jan 2021 00:10Latin America

22 Dec 2020 The Vaccine is arriving in LatAm, but the Near-Term Outlook is Grim

The pandemic is worsening in most of LatAm, triggering a new wave of localised lockdown measures and curfews in order to stop the spread

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Dec 2020 00:10Latin America

2 Dec 2020 The Recovery in the Andes Continues, but the Virus is a Threat

Chile's IMACEC activity index for October, released yesterday, was well below market expectations, falling by 0.5% month-to-month, following four consecutive gains.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Dec 2020 00:10Latin America

20 Nov 2020 Chile's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but did not Reverse all the Covid Hit

Data released this week confirmed that Q3 real GDP growth in the Andes rebounded sharply, on a sequential basis, as the region's economies gradually reopened.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Nov 2020 00:10Latin America

16 Nov 2020 Brazil's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but a Second Covid Wave is a Real Threat

The economic recovery in Brazil slowed to a sluggish pace in September, with the IBC-BR index, a monthly proxy for GDP, rising by merely 1.3% on a month-to- month basis and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)16th Nov 2020 00:20Latin America

3 Nov 2020 Mexico's Record Rebound in Q3 GDP Growth will Falter Soon, due to Covid

Mexico's first estimate of third quarter GDP, released last week, confirmed that the economy is still struggling in the face of Covid-related domestic and external headwinds,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Nov 2020 00:20Latin America

2 Nov 2020 The Covid Crisis in LatAm is Easing, but the Risk of a Second Wave is Real

While we were out, new Covid-19 cases continued to increase in Brazil and Colombia. The latest uptick in Mexico's cases seems to be peaking, though the data are not reliable,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Nov 2020 00:20Latin America

12 Oct 2020 Covid-induced Spike in Food Prices Pushes Up Inflation in Brazil and Chile

Inflation data for Brazil and Chile released last week surprised to the upside, but the rebound in September mainly was driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Oct 2020 00:20Latin America

9 Oct 2020 Brazil's Retailers have Shrugged off the Corona Hit, but Threats Remain

Brazil's retail sector has shrugged off the Covid- related shock and leading indicators suggest that activity will continue to improve over the next few months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Oct 2020 00:10Latin America

21 Sept 2020 Inflation Risks in Argentina are Mounting, Despite the Benign Trend

The Argentinian economic recovery continues, from very depressed levels, and the rebound is confronting many setbacks.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Sep 2020 00:20Latin America

18 Sept 2020 COPOM on Hold, the "Likely End of a Long" Monetary Easing Cycle

Recent economic activity, labour market and inflation data all have surprised Brazilian policymakers' expectations, to the upside.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Sep 2020 00:10Latin America

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Keywords for: Latin America Key Issues