Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Global Publications

Below is a list of our Global Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Global Datanote: Advance Inflation & Unemployment, Eurozone, May/April

In one line: All set for doves to take charge of ECB policy over the summer. 

4 June 2025 Global Monitor Soft inflation sets up dovish ECB and SNB meetings in June

  • US - Weaker consumers’ spending and higher core inflation lie ahead
  • EUROZONE - Soft inflation data signal dovish ECB and SNB meetings in June
  • UK - Forecast review: Stronger growth and sticky inflation take away a cut
  • CHINA+ - China’s residential market enjoying only a modest boost
  • EM ASIA - India’s investment-led Q1 leap is unreliable; consumers still in doubt
  • LATAM - Solid start for Chile’s Q2 growth; subdued inflation pressures in Peru

Global Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, April, 2025

  • In one line: Recovery maintaining a solid pace, but external headwinds still loom.

Global Datanote: CPI, Indonesia, May

  • In one line: Near-zero inflation is once again around the corner.

Global Datanote: Trade, Indonesia, April

  • In one line: A partially welcome collapse in the surplus.

28 May 2025 Global Monitor US goes after the EU; will it last?

  • US- Labor market weakness will emerge, but not before July’s FOMC meeting
  • UK-Strong growth and inflation mean an August skip
  • EZ-Labor market weakness will emerge, but not before July’s FOMC meeting
  • CHINA- Growth worries likely to delay the BoJ’s rate normalisation
  • EM ASIA- BI’s easing cycle back in play, with 75bp more cuts by end-2025
  • LATAM -Strong start to 2025 for Brazil and Colombia masks challenges ahead

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, Eurozone, May 2025

In one line: Services downturn clouding manufacturing’s recovery. 

Global Datanote: Bank Indonesia Decision

  • In one line: Back in business; at least 75bp in more cuts to come this year.

21 May 2025 Global Monitor Strong GDP growth won't prevent the SNB from cutting below zero

  • US - How stimulative will fiscal policy be if the “Big Beautiful Bill” passes?
  • EUROZONE - Swiss economy galloping in 2025, though growth is now slowing
  • UK - MPC preview: dovish shift, but not as much as the market expected
  • CHINA+ - Japan’s weak Q1 GDP print reinforces BoJ’s decision to pause
  • EM ASIA - US front-running boosts Thailand’s Q1, but it’s all downhill from here
  • LATAM - Banxico delivers another 50bp rate cut amid weak growth

Global Datanote: Detailed Inflation, Eurozone, April 2025

In one line: Headed for 2% over the summer; enough for two more ECB cuts? 

Global Datanote: Economic activity index, Brazil, March, 2025

  • In one line: Q1 surge driven by agriculture; broader gains show resilience.

Global Datanote: CPI, India, April

  • In one line: More food disinflation to come in May; the 2025 consensus remains far too high.

14 May 2025 Global Monitor The tightening cycle is over in Brazil; when come the cuts?

  • US - Inflation outlook little changed by China deal, but exports will be firmer
  • EUROZONE - The US-China trade deal is worth less than markets believe
  • UK - MPC preview: dovish shift, but not as much as the market expected
  • CHINA+ - China considering a major overhaul of its housing-market model
  • EM ASIA - Philippines’ Q1 wasn’t that bad but may be as good as it gets for 2025
  • LATAM - Brazil’s COPOM sticks to the script but signals a long pause

Global Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, April, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation steady in April, but underlying pressures persist, for now.

Global Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, April, 2025

  • In one line: Underlying pressures remain in check, despite a bad start to Q2.

Global Datanote: Inflation, Chile, April, 2025

  • In one line: Disinflation resumes, and the near-term outlook remains benign.
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independent macro research, Global Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,