Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Weekly Monitor

11 December 2023 China+ Monitor Japan's Downward GDP Revision Reflects Weak Private Consumption

  • Japan’s Q3 GDP growth was revise d down, largely due to a lower estimate for private consumption.
  • Service exports surprisingly fell over the quarter, suggesting foreign tourism spending has peaked.
  • Wage growth improved in October, partly thanks to bonuses; the BoJ is tracking the spring wage talks.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

4 December 2023 China+ Monitor BoK Holds Fast, Worried About Persistently Elevated Inflation

  • The BoK left the policy rate unchanged last week; it raise d its 2024 inflation forecast.
  • The Bank is likely to shift its focus to growth support in 2024 but delay the first rate cut until Q3.
  • Korean export growth rose in November, largely thanks to base effects; trade is still bottoming out.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

27 November 2023 China+ Monitor Japan's Core Inflation Basically Steady, Despite Headline Uptick

  • Japan’s core inflation barely moved in October, despite a rise in headline inflation...
  • ...Driven by the partial roll-back of energy subsidies, soaring hotel costs and fresh food inflation.
  • The fall in the November flash manufacturing PMI confirms Japan’s sluggish recovery.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

20 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Property Developers Continue to Flounder

  • China’s residential market flagged again in October, despite the new homebuyer incentives since August.
  • Developer funding shows little sign of turning around, as worries over debt issues are prevailing.
  • The reported affordable-housing programme likely will fall short of the shantytown redevelopment boost.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

13 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Soft Core Inflation Indicates Sagging Domestic Demand

  • Chinese auto sales picked up in October, in a positive sign for consumer demand....
  • ...But sluggish sentiment and a still-high savings rate point to a tepid recovery in 2024.
  • Producer prices fell in October, due to excess capacity and soft demand, at home and abroad.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

23 October 2023 China+ Monitor Surging Korean Chip Shipments Hold Promise, Despite Hazy Demand

  • Korean exports rose in October for the first time in over a year, despite the sub-50 export order PMI.
  • The rebound in chip exports is due to downstream restocking, while end-product demand is unclear.
  • China’s October services PMI slowed, after the summer tourism and leisure activity bump.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence