Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

25 June 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor Taiwan's retail sales fall, spelling bad news for Q2 consumption

  • Taiwan’s retail sales fell for a second straight month, because of a slump in vehicle sales...
  • ...Reports suggest consumers are holding off purchases, hoping for a reduction in import tariffs.
  • Malaysian inflation fell to its lowest in 51 months, due to a decline in services inflation.

25 June 2025 China+ Monitor Japan's flash PMIs reveal areas of resilience amid tariff storm

  • Japan’s June headline flash manufacturing index was lifted by output, but demand remained subdued.
  • Cost pressures are easing only slowly, with global oil prices a key risk.
  • The service sector continues to be bolstered by tourism, notably surging Chinese visitor numbers.

25 June 2025 Eurozone Monitor Germany business surveys on the rise, unlike the hard data

  • German business surveys are on the rise, but the hard data are not; at least, not yet… 
  • ...The cabinet approved the 2025 supplementary budget; parliament must do likewise by September. 
  • The rise in public spending and capex will feed through only in Q4 or, more likely, from 2026.

25 June 2025 UK Monitor Labour market continues to ease gradually, but the worst is over

  • Collapsing payrolls in May look inconsistent with stable or improving survey-based measures of jobs.
  • The soft data suggest the worst of the slowdown caused by the payroll-tax hike is behind us.
  • Stable economic growth, driven by less trade-related uncertainty, will give a hawkish tint to the job data.

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, April 2025

  • In one line: House prices fall in April, but the market will recover quickly.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, May 2025

  • In one line: ONS vehicle duty correction cuts inflation, news was small, inflation pressures remain sticky.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, May 2025

  • In one line:Public finances deteriorate in May, tax-hike speculation to mount over the summer.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, June 2025

  • In one line: Consumers’ confidence inches up, but it will be tested over the summer.

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, June 2025

  • In one line: Rates and guidance unchanged in June, but a dovish tilt to the minutes. 

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, May 2025

  • In one line:Retail sales tank in May but will rebound.

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, June 2025

  • In one line: Activity rises and price pressures fall, but geopolitical stress a rising worry.

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, France, June 2025

In one line: Stuck in the mud, but also underestimating growth.

EZ Datanote: Flash PMIs, France, June 2025

In one line: Stuck in the mud, but also underestimating growth.

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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence