Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Trade

Global Datanote: Trade, Indonesia, May

  • In one line: Export growth probably will buckle again in Q3.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global

EM Asia Datanote: Trade, India, May

  • In one line: Led by an overdue correction in oil imports.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production & Trade, EZ, April 2025

In one line: Tariff-front running boost to industry and trade fading in early Q2. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

Global Datanote: Trade, Indonesia, April

  • In one line: A partially welcome collapse in the surplus.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global

PM Datanote: US Advance Goods Trade, April

Net trade and inventories on course for a big combined boost to headline GDP in Q2.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

EZ Datanote: INSEE Consumer Confidence, France, May 2025

In one line: Downtrend continues as unemployment fears near Covid-time peak. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Trade, EZ, March 2025

In one line: A new record high, thanks to tariff front-running by US firms.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, March 2025

  • In one line: Small boost from tariff-front running, which likely continued as President Trump pushed back reciprocal tariffs by 90-days.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

PM Datanote: US Advance Goods Trade, March

Trade and inventories data leave a negative Q1 GDP print looking far more likely.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, France, Q1 2025

In one line: Barely growing, and trade uncertainty could well keep it that way in 2025. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Trade & construction, EZ, February 2025

In one line: Don’t show Donald Trump the trade charts; Construction down but still defied surveys in Q1

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, France, April 2025

In one line: Fastest fall in demand for services since Covid pulls down the headline.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global

EZ Datanote: Flash PMIs, France, April 2025

In one line: Fastest fall in demand for services since Covid pulls down the headline.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, February 2025

  • In one line: Fracturing global trade will begin to weigh on the trade balance in the coming months.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production & Trade, Germany, February

In one line: German industry likely had a great Q1, but what awaits in Q2? 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, January 2025

  • In one line: The trade balance will remain weak as energy prices remain high and uncertainty prevails.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

PM Datanote: US Advance Goods Trade, February

 Gold trade and pre-tariff stockpiling are distorting the numbers.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence