Pantheon Macroeconomics

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73 items tagged "monetary policy":

Chart of the Week 15th March 2023

Chart of the Week 15th March 2023

The ECB will stick to the plan of a 50bp hike this week

Chart of the Week 21st December 2022

Chart of the Week 21st December 2022

Longer-for-tighter ECB policy will hit EZ GDP growth

Chart of the Week 26th April 2023

Chart of the Week 26th April 2023

The EZ Brushed Away Banking Troubles in April

Chart of the Week 11th Jan 2023

Chart of the Week 11th Jan 2023

U.S. wage growth is looking less threatening for the Fed

Chart of the Week 4th Jan 2023

Chart of the Week 4th Jan 2023

Real M1 growth in the EZ is plunging

Chart of the Week 16th November 2022

Chart of the Week 16th November 2022

How will Germany's yield curve un-invert?

Chart of the Week 14th December 2022

Chart of the Week 14th December 2022

Here comes a raft of 50bp hikes

Chart of the Week 21st Sept 2022

Chart of the Week 21st Sept 2022

The BoE will stick to 50bp this week

Chart of the Week 15th Feb 2023

Chart of the Week 15th Feb 2023

Brazil's central bank will be cutting rates in H2

Chart of the Week 8th Feb 2023

Chart of the Week 8th Feb 2023

Brazil's central bank will be cutting rates in H2

Chart of the Week 1st March 2023

Chart of the Week 1st March 2023

The German recession is still on

Chart of the Week 26th October 2022

Chart of the Week 26th October 2022

Here comes another 75bp from the ECB

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar April 2024: What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

What is the Link Between EZ Wage Growth & Inflation?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

EZ Webinar February 2024: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

Switzerland Focus: Will the SNB Beat the ECB to it on Rate Cuts?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

EZ Webinar December 2023: When Will the ECB's Message Shift?

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

Eurozone Webinar March 2023: The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

The ECB Is Still Focused On Rising Core Inflation; Is It Making A Policy Error?

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar May 2022: How Will EZ Policymakers Respond To Stagflation?

Eurozone Webinar by Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, France, March 2024

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, France, March 2024

In one line: A big decline, and risks are tilted towards a slide in the core in April

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, Eurozone, November 2023

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, Eurozone, November 2023

In one line: A big decline; base effects in energy point to a snap-back in December.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, February 2024

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, February 2024

In one line: Pegged back by a plunge in food inflation; the core HICP likely fell.

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, Germany, January 2024

EZ Datanote: Detailed Inflation, Germany, January 2024

In one line: Services inflation pushed higher by healthcare, education and hospitality.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, January 2024

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, January 2024

In one line: Still consistent with a fall in the ECB's 2024 inflation forecasts in March.

EZ Datanote: Consumers' Spending & Final Inflation, France, Nov/Dec 2023

EZ Datanote: Consumers' Spending & Final Inflation, France, Nov/Dec 2023

In one line: A rise in core goods consumption not enough to lift Q4 spending; inflation will fall sharply in Q1.

EZ Datanote: Inflation, North Rhine Westphalia & France, December 2023

EZ Datanote: Inflation, North Rhine Westphalia & France, December 2023

In one line: EZ headline rebounded in December, but the core likely eased further.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, December 2023

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, December 2023

In one line: Headline rebounds more than expected, but the core undershot our forecast.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, October

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, October

In one line: Disinflation is accelerating.

EZ Datanote: Detailed CPI, Germany, March 2024

EZ Datanote: Detailed CPI, Germany, March 2024

In one line: Pushed lower despite an early Easter boost in services.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, France, January

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, France, January

In one line: Still consistent with our EZ call; all eyes on Germany later.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, France, October 2023

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, France, October 2023

In one line: Falling, but services inflation remains sticky.

EZ Datanote: Inflation/Unemployment, German States & Germany, January

EZ Datanote: Inflation/Unemployment, German States & Germany, January

In one line: EZ inflation fell in January, but less than we thought.

EZ Datanote: State CPIs and Unemployment, Germany, February 2024

EZ Datanote: State CPIs and Unemployment, Germany, February 2024

In one line: German inflation likely fell a touch more than we thought in February.

PM Datanote: CPI Annual Seasonal Revisions

PM Datanote: CPI Annual Seasonal Revisions

All that excitement for nothing.

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, Spain, November 2023

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, Spain, November 2023

In one line: Outperforming France and Germany.

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, January 2024

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, January 2024

In one line: Soft, but manufacturing likely will only be a small drag on Q1 GDP growth.

EZ Datanote: IFO, Germany, November 2023

EZ Datanote: IFO, Germany, November 2023

In one line: Still-rising, but will the fiscal impasse hit the December data?

EZ Datanote:  ISTAT Confidence, Italy, April

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Confidence, Italy, April

In one line: Confidence eases.

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, November 2023

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, November 2023

In one line: Decent, but production likely fell over Q4 as a whole.

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, December.

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, December.

In one line: Depressed, despite an improving outlook for real income growth.

EZ Datanote: INSEE Consumer Confidence, France, November 2023

EZ Datanote: INSEE Consumer Confidence, France, November 2023

In one line: Solid headline, but unemployment fears are rising.

EZ Datanote: Retail Sales, Germany, October 2023

EZ Datanote: Retail Sales, Germany, October 2023

In one line: A solid start to Q4; a sign of more to come?

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, December

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, December

In one line: Seasonals flatter the increase.

EZ Datanote: EC Sentiment, Eurozone, October 2023

EZ Datanote: EC Sentiment, Eurozone, October 2023

In one line: More confirmation that weakness spread into Q4.

EZ Datanote: INSEE Business Confidence, France, December 2023

EZ Datanote: INSEE Business Confidence, France, December 2023

In one line: Not as good as the headline would suggest.

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, September 2023

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, September 2023

In one line: French industry stuttered at the end of Q3.

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, EZ, September 2023

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, EZ, September 2023

In one line: More increases are coming.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, September 2023

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, September 2023

In one line: Headline lifted by large orders, and revisions signal downside risks to the initial Q3 GDP estimate.

PM Datanote: ISTAT, Italy, November 2023

PM Datanote: ISTAT, Italy, November 2023

In one line: Better for consumers and manufacturing, but service confidence fell further.

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, October 2023

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, October 2023

In one line: Early days, but it looks like a decline in Q4.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2023

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, October 2023

In one line: Grim, but the headline was depressed by major orders.

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, Germany, October 2023

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, Germany, October 2023

In one line: Still struggling at the start of Q4.

EZ Datanote: IFO, Germany, December 2023

EZ Datanote: IFO, Germany, December 2023

In one line: German firms will be happy to say Goodbye to 2023!

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December 2023

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December 2023

In one line: Jump in services sentiment leads the way; will it be sustained?

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, February 2024

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, February 2024

In one line: Held back by a plunge in energy output; core production did better.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, December 2023

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, December 2023

In one line: Boosted by major orders in aircraft; core orders were weak.

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, January 2024

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, January 2024

In one line: Sentiment on the up at the turn of the year.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, January 2024

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, January 2024

In one line: Ignore volatility in major orders; the trend in core orders is still down.

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, Germany, January 2024

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, Germany, January 2024

In one line: Positive, but is it the start of a sustained pick-up?

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, EZ, January 2024

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, EZ, January 2024

In one line: Distorted by the Irish data, again.

EZ Datanote: ESI, EZ, March 2024

EZ Datanote: ESI, EZ, March 2024

In one line: Consistent with a rise in EZ GDP this quarter.

EZ Datanote: Money Supply, EZ, Feb; ISTAT Confidence, Italy, Mar & Unemployment, Germany, Mar

EZ Datanote: Money Supply, EZ, Feb; ISTAT Confidence, Italy, Mar & Unemployment, Germany, Mar

In one line: Improvement in money supply continues; Italian business confidence rises & German unemployment will climb further.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Eurozone, February 2024

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Eurozone, February 2024

In one line: Going nowhere, but turnover jumped in February.

EZ Datanote: Detailed GDP, Germany, Q3

EZ Datanote: Detailed GDP, Germany, Q3

In one line: On the brink of recession.

 

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