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8th Apr 2024 10:06US, Daily Monitor

  • Revisions between the first and third payroll estimate have become bigger and increasingly negative.
  • Under pressure SMEs likely are under-represented in the first estimate; expect larger downward revisions in Q2. 
  • We expect another fall in the NFIB index in March, as small businesses remain under pressure.

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Keywords for: 9 April 2024 US Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence