Pantheon Macroeconomics

Best viewed on a device with a bigger screen...

4th Mar 2026 11:29USDaily Monitor
  • Tax refunds are up only 10% year-over-year to date, far short of the near-30% rise we expected...
  • ...But a meaningful boost to growth in consumers’ spending in H1 still looks likely. 
  • Layoff indicators remain subdued, but the renewed fall in NFIB hiring intentions implies weak job gains.

PDF

This publication is only available to U.S. (Monitor) subscribers

Related Publications

No results...

Are you taking full advantage of our daily publications?

Pantheon Macroeconomics produce daily publications for U.S., Eurozone, Latin America, UK and Asia, as well as analysis on key data within a few minutes of their release.

U.S. Economic Research
Eurozone Economic Research
Latin America Economic Research
UK Economic Research
Asia Economic Research
 

Sign up for your complimentary trial

To start your complimentary trial, highlight the areas you are interested in subscribing to and click next.

United States

Eurozone

United Kingdom

China +

Emerging Asia

Latin America

Next

 
Consistently Right
Access Key Enabled Navigation
Keywords for: 6 March 2026 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence