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23rd Jun 2025 17:22USDaily Monitor

  • Homebase data point to a mere 100K rise in June payrolls; Conference Board data point to even worse.
  • No other reliable indicators of payroll growth are due to be released, so we likely will maintain our 100K forecast.
  • The April surge in new home sales looks very fishy: we expect a slump in May.

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Keywords for: 25 June 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence