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19th Jun 2025 13:07USWeekly Monitor

  • Real income growth has already slowed significantly, and will grind to a halt as tariffs boost consumer prices.
  • Spending growth likely will soften too; households’ balance sheets are less supportive than post-Covid.
  • We expect growth in consumers’ spending to slow just 1% by Q4, down from nearly 3% in Q1.

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Keywords for: 23 June 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence