Pantheon Macroeconomics

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20th Jan 2026 11:09USDaily Monitor
  • Tax refunds this year likely will exceed 2025’s total by about $90B, equal to 0.4% of disposable income...
  • ...Most refunds will be made over the next three months, facilitating a temporary jump in spending.
  • Low confidence and saving, however, mean we expect only one-third of the extra cash to be spent.

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Keywords for: 22 January 2026 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence