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1st Dec 2025 09:46USDaily Monitor
  • Investors see a near-90% chance of the FOMC easing  next week, back to levels before October’s meeting.
  • Sometimes, the Chair moves markets during the  blackout via the WSJ, but that seems unlikely now.
  • Manufacturing payrolls have fallen materially in 2025,  but likely aren’t a canary in the coalmine this time.

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Keywords for: 2 December 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence