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16th Sep 2025 11:17USDaily Monitor
  • The median FOMC participant expects to ease by a further 50bp this year, but several envisage less.
  • The risks to the FOMC’s unemployment forecast are skewed to the upside; rates will fall to 3% next year.
  • Last week’s surge in mortgage refinancing is unlikely to endure; new rates are still too high.

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Keywords for: 18 September 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence