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16th Mar 2026 09:16USDaily Monitor
  • FOMC participants will lift their Q4 forecasts for both core PCE inflation and the unemployment rate.
  • The median participant likely will still expect 25bp easing this year, but risks are skewed to no cuts.
  • We still look for 75bp easing, but have pushed back our forecast for the first cut to September.

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Keywords for: 17 March 2026 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence