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12th Mar 2026 18:20USWeekly Monitor
  • January was the fifth straight month of sub-0.3% gains in real consumption; the worst since 2012.
  • Oil prices will squeeze real incomes by 11/4% if they are sustained at $100, or 1/2% if they follow futures.
  • Households lack the balance sheet strength to brush this aside; spending will grow only modestly.

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Keywords for: 16 March 2026 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence