Pantheon Macroeconomics

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U.S. Publications

Below is a list of our U.S. Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Portugal Oil

12 July 2021 Is the Treasury Market Really Sigalling Slower Growth?

We find ourselves at odds with a couple of ideas gaining currency among the commentariat, namely, that markets are becoming less worried about inflation risk, and that the rise in...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)12th Jul 2021 00:30U.S.

8 July 2021 Does Trimmed Mean Inflation Signal Broader Trouble Ahead

The Dallas Fed last week published a short blog post--seehere--focused on the predictive power of their trimmed mean PCE inflation measure. 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)8th Jul 2021 00:20U.S.

23 June 2021 Producer Restraint has Allowed Oil Prices to Surge, it Likely won't Last

Question: What's the fastest known mechanism for getting oil out of the ground? 

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)23rd Jun 2021 00:20U.S.

8 June 2021 Fundamentals, not Surveys, will Drive the Fed, but the Surveys are Startling

In 2015, key labor market indicators from the NFIB small business survey returned to levels last seen at the peak of the cycle in 2007, and unemployment hit the Fed's...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)8th Jun 2021 00:30U.S.

17 May 2021 One Huge Core CPI won't Move the Fed, but it Surely has their Attention

One Huge Core CPI won't Move the Fed, but it Surely has their Attention

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)17th May 2021 00:30U.S.

14 May 2021 Noise Likely to Outweight the Signal in April's Retail Sales and IP Data

Noise Likely to Outweight the Signal in April's Retail Sales and IP Data

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)14th May 2021 00:20U.S.

15 Mar 2021 Deeply Embedded Low Inflation Psychology didn't End Well in the 60s

Deeply Embedded Low Inflation Psychology didn't End Well in the 60s

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)15th Mar 2021 00:30U.S.

10 Mar 2021 Upside Risk for the February Core CPI, are Rents Starting to Rebound

Upside Risk for the February Core CPI, are Rents Starting to Rebound

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)10th Mar 2021 00:20U.S.

1 Mar 2021. Stocks don't Need to Keep Falling on the Back of Higher Yields

1 Mar 2021. Stocks don't Need to Keep Falling on the Back of Higher Yields

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)1st Mar 2021 00:30U.S.

6 Jan 2021 ISM Prices Paid Lifted by Oil Prices, the Real Inflation Risk is Elsewhere

We are not unduly concerned by the jump in theISM manufacturing prices paid index in January, toits highest level since May 2018.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)6th Jan 2021 00:20U.S.

6 Oct 2020 Covid Threatens Medium-Term GDP Growth but the Story is not All Bad

The steep rise in the number of people unemployed for more than six months attracted a good deal of media attention after the release of Friday's August jobs report, as well...

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist and Founder)6th Oct 2020 00:20U.S.

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