Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Global Weekly Monitor Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist) Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)

20 November 2023 US Monitor The Pre-Conditions for 2% Inflation are Mostly in Place

  • The supply-side factors we wanted to see in order to push inflation back down have all now normalized…
  • Excess demand is the last piece of the jigsaw; the lagged hit from the Fed’s hike will take care of it.
  • As demand moderates, gross margins will fall, pushing inflation back to target, and perhaps below it.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

13 November 2023 US Monitor House Leadership has no Real Plan to a Avert a Government Shutdown

  • House Republicans are yet to coalesce around a funding plan that could pass the Senate…
  • …That might change, but right now a government shutdown starting at midnight Friday looks likely.
  • The spike in inflation expectations will reverse, but Fed policymakers will be unhappy in the meantime.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

6 November 2023 US Monitor The Labor Market is Softening, but it is not Rolling Over

  • The gradual downshift in job growth continues, but labor demand is not collapsing.
  • If unemployment hits 4%, the Fed will struggle to jus- tify sticking to the line that it could hike again.
  • Wage growth is slowing, with a further softening in the pipeline; further policy tightening is unnecessary.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

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U.S. Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence