Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)

23 December 2025 US Monitor GDP growth likely to slow sharply from Q3's robust pace

  • We think GDP grew by 3½% in Q3, underpinned by a solid increase in consumers’ spending. 
  • AI-related capex likely also lifted fixed investment, while net trade made a big positive contribution too.
  • But growth seems to have slowed sharply in Q4, mostly due to weakness among households.

December 2025 - US Economic Chartbook

THE PAUSE IN THE FED’S EASING CYCLE WILL BE BRIEF...

  • ...THE LABOR MARKET WILL REMAIN WEAK, INFLATION FALL

PM Datanote: US Retail Sales, October 2025

October's strength in control sales looks unlikely to last.

November 2025 - US Economic Chartbook

EXPECT AN EXTENDED FED EASING CYCLE...

  • ...DRIVEN BY A WEAK LABOR MARKET AND FALLING INFLATION

PM Datanote: US Durable Goods Orders, September 2025

Improving slightly, but investment still soft outside of tech.

PM Datanote: US Existing Home Sales, October 2025

Boost from lower rates likely has only a bit further to run.

PM Datanote: US FOMC Minutes, October 2025

December hangs in the balance, but substantial easing probably still lies ahead.

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Keywords for: U.S. Documents

U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,