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31st Jan 2024 18:58UK, Daily Monitor

  • Lingering votes to hike Bank Rate distract from most members’ endorsement of rate cuts this year...
  • ...Two-year-ahead inflation is forecast nearer 2% under market rates than constant rates; upside skew has gone.
  • We still expect the first 25bp cut to come in May, but the risks remain tilted towards a later commencement.

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Keywords for: 2 February 2024 UK Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence