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10th Apr 2024 15:11UKDaily Monitor

  • UK interest rates have followed the US in most major cycles since the mid-1970s.
  • Exceptions to this when the economies have diverged mean the MPC can cut rates in June as inflation slows.
  • The MPC will be cautious about the pace of cuts, given sticky services inflation and to avoid GBP falling.

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Keywords for: 12 April 2024 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence