Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Samuel Tombs

21 November 2023 UK Monitor Consumer Prices Have Almost Fully Adjusted to Higher Energy Prices

  • On Thursday, Ofgem will likely announce that consumer electricity and natural gas prices will rise modestly in Q1.
  • Businesses have essentially finished passing on higher energy costs to customers...
  • ...Many have locked in high wholesale prices but can still slow the rate of price rises over the coming months.

Samuel TombsUK

20 November 2023 UK Monitor Recent Fall in Retail Sales to Reverse As Real Incomes Recover in Q4

  • Retail sales fell for the second straight month in October, though that partly reflected the warmer, wetter weather.
  • But real incomes look set to recover, as pay growth outstrips CPI inflation and cost-of-living grants resume.
  • Some of this extra cash will be saved, but people will be able to spend more too; retail sales will recover in Q4.

Samuel TombsUK

16 November 2023 UK Monitor CPI Inflation Falling Quickly Enough for the MPC to Start Easing in Q2

  • October’s 4.6% rate of CPI inflation undershot the MPC’s forecast by 0.2pp, largely due to services prices.
  • The core CPI has risen at a seasonally adjusted annualised rate of just 2.2% over the past three months...
  • ...Some one-off price falls have supported the slowdown, but PPI data suggest it will largelybe sustained.

Samuel TombsUK

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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,