Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, December

  • In one line: Manufacturing output likely has further to fall. 

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Flash PMIs, December 2023

  • In one line: Further recovery should ease recession fears.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. GfK Consumer's Confidence Survey, December

  • In one line: Recovery should gather momentum next year. 

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. MPC Decision & Minutes, December

  • In one line: Continued hawkishness suggests May still is the earliest plausible date for the first rate cut.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. International Trade, October 2023

  • In one line: Narrowing trend to re-emerge during the rest of Q4.

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. GDP, October 2023

  • In one line: A broad-based drop, but expect a recovery in the final two months of 2023.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, October/November 2023

  • In one line:  The trend in wage growth is weakening, but not as dramatically as October’s data imply.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Report on Jobs Survey, November 2023

  • In one line: Consistent with unemployment rising more quickly than the MPC expects.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. S&P Global/CIPS Services Survey, November 2023

In one line: Recession fears should be quelled by November’s PMI. 

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Car Registrations, November 2023

  • In one line: Still weak, but car sales should rebound next year. 

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, November 2023

  • In one line: Consistent with a modest revival in retail sales; expect a fuller recovery in 2024.  

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing Survey, November 2023

  • In one line: Manufacturing output is being hit by retailers running down their inventories.

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, November 2023

  • In one line: Don’t get too excited about the prospect of a sustained recovery just yet,  

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Money & Credit, October 2023

  • In one line: Households remain focussed on repaying debt and replenishing their savings, but we doubt they will become even more cautious ahead. 

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. GfK Consumer's Confidence Survey, November

  • In one line: A rebound in real incomes will drive a recovery in confidence.

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Flash PMIs, November 2023

  • In one line: Further reassurance a recession isn’t developing.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Autumn Statement 2023

  • In one line: No major pre-election giveaways; the course is clear for the MPC to cut Bank Rate next year.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, November

  • In one line: The Q3 recovery in manufacturing output looks set to reverse. 

UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Public Finances, October 2023

  • In one line: A timely reminder that considerable further fiscal consolidation is needed.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Retail Sales, October

  • In one line: We expect a recovery in the coming months, driven by a rebound in real incomes. 

UK

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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence