Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email, or contact your account rep

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UK Datanote: U.K. International Trade, December 2023

  • In one line: Further narrowing likely this year, reducing sterling’s sensitivity to the risk profile of foreign investors.


UK Datanote: U.K. RICS Residential Market Survey, January 2024

  • In one line: Further evidence to support our view of a material recovery in house prices this year. 


UK Datanote: U.K. Car Registrations, January 2024

  • In one line: Very weak, but should now recover in line with consumers' confidence. 


25 January 2024 UK Monitor Improving PMI data signal no need for the MPC to rush to cut rates

  • January’s composite PMI data point to GDP rising at a near-trend 0.2% quarter-on-quarter pace in Q1.
  • S&P’s survey also points to 0.2% q/q growth in employ- ment, which would stop unemployment rising further.
  • Producer output prices remain flat despite shipping disruptions, but services inflation is fading only slowly.


UK Datanote: U.K. RICS Residential Market Survey, December 2023

  • In one line: Consistent with a recovery in 2024. 


19 January 2024 UK Monitor House prices to start rising in Q2, bolstered by lower mortgage rates

  • The official house price index will fall further in Q1, in response to last year's rise in mortgage rates...
  • ...But mortgage payment affordability will improve rap- idly this year, as rates come down and incomes rise.
  • The timeliest indicators of house purchase demand have rebounded; prices will return to their peak by year-end.


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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,