Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Weekly Monitor Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, August 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity looks subdued but stable, it should recover in H2.

26 August 2025 UK Monitor Week in review: August rate cut looks increasingly like a mistake

  • Another week of hawkish data makes the MPC’s August cut look increasingly like a mistake.
  • Inflation is too sticky and growth too strong for another rate cut any time soon.
  • Market pricing has moved significantly closer to our call for the MPC to stay on hold for the rest of 2025.

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, July 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity will continue to recover from the tariff-induced slowdown.

30 June 2025 UK Monitor Forecast review: touch-and-go for an August cut to Bank Rate

  • We cut our Q2 GDP growth forecast to 0.2% quarter-to-quarter from 0.3% previously, after soft data.
  • Energy prices nudge up our inflation forecasts; we see CPI inflation peaking at 3.7% in September.
  • We see payrolls and GDP rebounding, which keeps us expecting only one more rate cut this year.

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, June 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing orders fall in June but the worst of the tariff-induced slowdown appears over.

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, May 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity remains weak according to the CBI, it will remain so for some time to come.

UK Datanote: U.K. CBI Industrial Trends Survey, April 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity improves according to the CBI, but the trade war will hurt businesses.
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,