UK Publications
Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
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Datanotes Weekly Monitor Elliott Laidman Doak (Senior UK Economist)
- In one line: Manufacturing activity will manage only small gains in the coming months.
- In one line: Manufacturing output will slowly recover in the coming months.
- Data in the past month have been a mixed bag, but underlying activity is holding up well.
- We retain our call for quarter-to-quarter GDP growth of 0.2% in Q3, matching the consensus estimate.
- Solid growth will limit the emergence of spare capacity, keeping the MPC on hold for the rest of 2025.
- In one line: Modestly deanchored inflation expectations warrant caution from the MPC.
- In one line: Manufacturing activity looks subdued but stable, it should recover in H2.
- Another week of hawkish data makes the MPC’s August cut look increasingly like a mistake.
- Inflation is too sticky and growth too strong for another rate cut any time soon.
- Market pricing has moved significantly closer to our call for the MPC to stay on hold for the rest of 2025.
- In one line: Manufacturing activity will continue to recover from the tariff-induced slowdown.
- We cut our Q2 GDP growth forecast to 0.2% quarter-to-quarter from 0.3% previously, after soft data.
- Energy prices nudge up our inflation forecasts; we see CPI inflation peaking at 3.7% in September.
- We see payrolls and GDP rebounding, which keeps us expecting only one more rate cut this year.
- In one line: Manufacturing orders fall in June but the worst of the tariff-induced slowdown appears over.
