Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

november 2025 Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, December 2025

  • In one line: The housing market was resilient in 2025, but prices will rise more quickly in 2026.

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, December 2025

  • In one line: The trade deficit has some room to further improve.

UK Datanote: UK GDP December 2025

  • In one line:Disappointing Q4 keeps a March rate cut on track, but underlying momentum looks too solid for more than one rate cut this year.

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, December / January 2026

  • In one line: Unemployment rate at 5-year high should seal a March rate cut, but more timely data suggests stabilisation.

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, December 2025

  • In one line: More downbeat money and credit data, but good enough to signal economic growth close to potential.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, December 2025

  • In one line:Retail sales rebound and have further to recover in 2026.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, December 2025

  • In one line: Underlying inflation remians sticky, even though headline CPI is set to temporarily slow in the first half of 2026.

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, November / December 2025

  • In one line: Enough to allow the MPC to wait until April to cut again.

UK Datanote: Bank of England Credit Conditions, Q4 2025

  • In one line: Loosening credit availability will help growth and falling secured credit defaults point to limited household distress.

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, November 2025

  • In one line: The headline trade balance will improve as falls in erratic components unwind.

UK Datanote: UK GDP November 2025

  • In one line:November flattered by unwinding hit to autos, but growth is still on track to beat the MPC's call in Q4.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, December 2025

  • In one line: The housing market is primed for a recovery in 2026.

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, December 2025

  • In one line: Few reasons for builders to be more optimistic in 2026, so the construction PMI will remain weak.

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, December 2025

  • In one line: Job falls ease after the Budget circus ends while inflation remains stick.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, December 2025

  • In one line: Discounting and post-Budget relief boost autos sales in December, but the trend remains upwards.

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, December 2025

  • In one line: Look past the dissapointing headline, because forward-looking balances improved and price pressures strengthened.

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, November 2025

  • In one line: The money and credit data for November show a solid footing for activity in 2026.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, November 2025

  • In one line: Downside news focused in volatile items and partly driven by early discounting, while underlying inflation pressures remained firm.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, November 2025

  • In one line:Budget chaos hits retail sales, but arguably by less than might have been feared.

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, October 2025

  • In one line: Weak house price inflation in October means we cut our Q4 forecast. 
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,