Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

may 2026 Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, May 2026

  • In one line: House price inflation to gradually ease over the rest of the year.

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, May 2026

  • In one line: Manufacturing growth will slow as front-running unwinds, but price pressures are building.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, April 2026

  • In one line: Downward revision to 2025/26 borrowing leaves little net news, but higher inflation will boost borrowing in the year ahead.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, April 2026

  • In one line: Limited fall in ex-petrol retail sales suggest consumption is slowing rather than collapsing.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, May 2026

  • In one line:  Early May sample period leaves confidence looking too rosy.

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, May 2026

  • In one line: Sharp output downturn leaves MPC more likely to hold in July.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, April 2026

  • In one line: Inflation scotches a June hike, but most of the downside surprise was in erratic components that will rebound.

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, March / April 2026

  • In one line: In one line: Sharp payrolls fall will be revised much stronger, but with wages weakening too the MPC will stay on hold in June.

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, April 2026

  • In one line: Early Easter exaggerates the fall, but it was a weak reading nonetheless.

UK Datanote: UK GDP March 2026

  • In one line: Noise exaggerates growth, but GDP was nonetheless solid heading into the Iran War.

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, March 2026

  • In one line: Few signs of a spillover from higher energy prices into core import costs, yet.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, April 2026

  • In one line: House price inflation to remain weak in 2026 as higher interest costs bite.

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, April 2026

  • In one line: Uncertainty hits permanent hiring, but vacancies improve, suggesting the job market is holding up.

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, April 2026

  • In one line: Not as good as it looks, but the PMIs still say the MPC should worry more about inflation than growth.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, March 2026

  • In one line:The Chancellor will need to borrow more than expected in the upcoming fiscal year.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, April 2026

  • In one line: Higher inflation means consumers’ confidence will remain weak in 2026.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, March 2026

  • In one line:Tentative signs that consumers are willing to run down their high saving rate to support consumption.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, March 2026

  • In one line: Underlying inflation accelerating tips the balance towards rate hikes if oil prices stay high, or limits the room for cuts if oil prices fall back.

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, February / March 2026

  • In one line: Stabilising jobs and unemployment fall challenges the MPC assessment of how fast the labour market was loosening.

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, February 2026

  • In one line: House price inflation to remain weak in 2026.
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,