Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

August / September 2025 Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, August / September 2025

  • In one line: Weaking wage growth makes this a dovish release, but the underlying story is a stabilising labour market with jobs no longer falling.

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, September 2025

  • In one line: Retail sales holding up given a tube shutdown and wet weather in September.

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, September 2025

  • In one line: Payroll falls will ease as tax hike hit begins to fade.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, September 2025

  • In one line: Budget uncertainty will keep housing market weak until November.

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, September 2025

  • In one line: The PMI has been a poor construction indicator lately, official output will probably hold up.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, September 2025

  • In one line: Strongest September car sales for three years bodes well for GDP.

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, September 2025

  • In one line: Dovish as activity growth slows, price pressures ease and margins are squeezed, but Q3 average PMI was OK.

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, September 2025

  • In one line: Employment falls fail to open spare capacity so wage and price pressures remain stubbornly too high.

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, September 2025

  • In one line: Manufacturing activity to remain weak in the second half of the year.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, September 2025

  • In one line: House prices jump in September but we look for a subdued second half of the year.

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, September 2025

  • In one line: The PMI cools in September but growth will still run at a healthy pace in Q3.

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q2 2025

  • In one line: Growth still reliant on government, but business investment growing through the H1 headwinds is an encouraging sign.

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, August 2025

  • In one line: Confident consumers and rising corporate credit flow signal healthy GDP growth.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, August 2025

  • In one line: Little news, as underlying services inflation settling in the low-4%'s will keep the MPC on hold for the rest of this year. 

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, September 2025

  • In one line: A slightly more cautious MPC will keep rates on hold for the rest of the year. 

UK Datanote: UK Official House Price Index, July 2025

  • In one line: House price inflation will remain weak as the Budget weighs on sentiment.

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, August 2025

  • In one line:Retail sales head for a solid Q3 and growth will likely be revised up.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, September 2025

  • In one line: Strong personal finances will help consumers keep spending.

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, July 2025

  • In one line: The underlying trade balance fell erratically in July, but it will remain weak.
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,