Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, August 2025

  • In one line: Job falls ease sharply but spare capacity is still building in the labour market.

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, August 2025

  • In one line: Retail spending can power another solid quarter of economic growth in Q3.

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, August 2025

  • In one line: Strong growth and stubborn price pressures will keep the MPC on hold for the rest of the year.

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, August 2025

  • In one line: The PMI inches up but still remains overly downbeat.

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, August 2025

  • In one line: Stubborn wage and price pressures should keep the MPC cautious, but falling employment is a building risk.

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, August 2025

  • In one line: Private car registrations should continue to rise as displacement demand drives sales.

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, July 2025

  • In one line: Solid credit flows and rising mortgage approvals signal confidence amongst business and households.

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, August 2025

  • In one line: The housing market is still stuttering after April’s stamp-duty hike, but prices will rise in H2.

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, August 2025

  • In one line: The fall in the Manufacturing PMI looks like a blip, sentiment should improve as tariff uncertainty abates.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, July 2025

  • In one line:The Chancellor will still have to raise taxes in October despite borrowing matching official forecasts.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, August 2025

  • In one line: Consumers’ confidence to stay rangebound for the rest of the year.

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, August 2025

  • In one line: Growth will match the MPC’s expectations in Q3.

UK Datanote: UK Official House Price Index, June 2025

  • In one line: House prices are recovering quickly from the stamp duty hike and will continue to rise in H2.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, July 2025

  • In one line: Another hawkish blow to the MPC means no more cuts this year.

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, July 2025

  • In one line: RICS falters in July but it will gradually rise in H2.

UK Datanote: UK GDP June 2025

  • In one line:Strong GDP growth in H1 illustrates a high neutral rate.

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, July 2025

  • In one line: The REC improves in July but signals the jobs market remains weak.

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, July 2025

  • In one line: Stubborn wage and price pressure despite falling employment suggests a cautious MPC.

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, August 2025

  • In one line: We’re comfortable assuming the MPC on hold for the rest of this year after hawkish guidance changes and vote. 

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, July 2025

  • In one line: Official retail sales will rise at a healthy clip in July.
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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,