Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Weekly Monitor

1 December 2025 LatAm Monitor Inflation eases further; Copom likely to cut rates in January

  • Disinflation in Brazil is broadening across goods and services, as supply conditions remain favourable.
  • A strong BRL, cooling demand, and easing core pressures will push headline inflation lower in Q1.
  • Copom signals patience but improving data support the case for a cautious rate-cutting cycle soon.

24 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's recovery stalls as technical recession looms in H2

  • Mexico’s Q3 GDP contraction confirms momentum has stalled, with a base-effect-driven recession likely.
  • Industrial weakness, soft job markets and fading public investment continue to weigh on activity.
  • Lower interest rates and easing inflation will support a mild 2026 upturn, contingent on trade clarity.

17 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Colombia's inflation outlook is deteriorating; BanRep cautious

  • Colombia’s sticky services inflation, indexation pressures and wage risks limit BanRep’s options.
  • The resilient domestic demand and job market are sustaining growth despite fragile external conditions.
  • Fiscal uncertainty, political noise and a widening trade deficit challenge BanRep’s cautious stance into 2026.

10 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico cautious as core inflation stickiness curbs easing prospects

  • Core inflation in Mexico remains stubborn near 4%, prompting Banxico to add a hawkish tilt to its tone.
  • GDP growth is weakening as industry shrinks and consumption stagnates amid tighter credit conditions.
  • Further rate cuts will hinge on stable inflation, fiscal prudence and limited trade disruption.

3 November 2025 LatAm Monitor BCCh holds rates as political noise grows; Mexico's GDP falls in Q3

  • BCCh’s cautious pause reflects sticky core inflation, fragile job data and sensitivity to election-driven noise.
  • …Disinflation, a stable CLP and lower energy tariffs will justify a 25bp cut in December.
  • Mexico’s GDP shrank in Q3 as industry weakened further and services plateaued; Q4 will be better.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,