Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Weekly Monitor

PM Datanote: President Boluarte impeached, Peru, Oct 2025

  • In one line: President Boluarte removed; uncertainty persists but economy remains resilient.

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, August, 2025

  • In one line: Showing tentative signs of stabilisation, but tight financial conditions remain a drag.

12 January 2026 LatAm Monitor Brazil's inflation hits target range; Mexico's industry finds its footing

  • Disinflation is broadening in Brazil, as tradables cool and currency strength reinforces policy credibility…
  • …The COPOM will begin a cautious easing cycle; fiscal risks and labour tightness will slow the pace of cuts.
  • Industrial output is improving sequentially in Mexico, but weak exports and the USMCA review are threats.

6 January 2026 LatAm Monitor Security, geopolitics and elections redefine LatAm's political outlook

  • US intervention in Venezuela raises regional tensions and reshapes political debate ahead of key elections.
  • Rising crime and security issues push voters towards hard-line, market-friendly candidates.
  • Chile’s election and upcoming Andean races signal a broader shift in LatAm’s political cycle.

22 December 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico cuts again, but policy pauses now firmly on the horizon

  • Banxico delivered another rate cut, but firmer inflation and guidance point to pauses ahead.
  • Sticky services inflation and fiscal changes narrow the Bank’s space to ease heading into early 2026.
  • The weakness of growth supports cuts, yet external risks and credibility worries limit the options.

15 December 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's industry stabilises, just, but trade uncertainty clouds the outlook

  • Mexico’s industrial rebound in October reflects only base effects and construction timing.
  • Manufacturing remains under strain, as US demand softens and trade policy uncertainty freezes capex.
  • USMCA-renewal and tariff risks will dominate industry’s performance more than domestic demand.

PM Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, November, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation under control, opening the door to gradual rate cuts.

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, November, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation stays contained, supporting a rate cut this month.

8 December 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile's inflation holds steady, firming the case for further BCCh rate cuts

  • Contained inflation with a broad-based moderation allows BCCh to resume gradual easing soon…
  • …CLP strength, lower food and oil prices, and relatively soft demand support a benign disinflation outlook.
  • Mexico’s ambitious wage push will strain productivity, intensify inflation risks, and test Banxico.

PM Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2025

  • In one line: Growth almost stalls as industry steadies and agriculture rebounds.

1 December 2025 LatAm Monitor Inflation eases further; Copom likely to cut rates in January

  • Disinflation in Brazil is broadening across goods and services, as supply conditions remain favourable.
  • A strong BRL, cooling demand, and easing core pressures will push headline inflation lower in Q1.
  • Copom signals patience but improving data support the case for a cautious rate-cutting cycle soon.

24 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's recovery stalls as technical recession looms in H2

  • Mexico’s Q3 GDP contraction confirms momentum has stalled, with a base-effect-driven recession likely.
  • Industrial weakness, soft job markets and fading public investment continue to weigh on activity.
  • Lower interest rates and easing inflation will support a mild 2026 upturn, contingent on trade clarity.

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q3, 2025

  • In one line: Momentum fades as mining weakens, while domestic demand holds firm.

PM Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru, November, 2025

  • In one line: On hold, reflecting a cautious global backdrop despite continued soft inflation.

17 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Colombia's inflation outlook is deteriorating; BanRep cautious

  • Colombia’s sticky services inflation, indexation pressures and wage risks limit BanRep’s options.
  • The resilient domestic demand and job market are sustaining growth despite fragile external conditions.
  • Fiscal uncertainty, political noise and a widening trade deficit challenge BanRep’s cautious stance into 2026.

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, September, 2025

  • In one line: Weak end to Q3 confirms sluggish household demand amid tight financial conditions.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,