Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor

12 August 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile's inflation surges; BCCh turns neutral and builds reserves

  • Chile's July CPI jumped, on electricity and services, pushing up inflation for the first time since March.
  • BCCh launched an USD18.5B reserve accumulation plan to cut its reliance on a shrinking IMF credit line.
  • Colombia’s inflation rose, as structural pressures persist, delaying the prospect of further rate cuts.

7 August 2025 LatAm Monitor External headwinds and weak growth weigh on LatAm currencies

  • Brazilian Real —  Under strain as trade risk rises
  • Mexican Peso —  Holding firm amid headwinds
  • Colombian Peso — Rally ended by an array of risks

6 August 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile's recovery holds despite mining slump and fiscal challenges ahead

  • Chile's non-mining sectors remain robust, helped by strong consumption and improving investment.
  • The slump in mining output is weighing on headline growth, but external demand and copper are buffers.
  • Fiscal pressures are rising as revenues lag behind target, raising the risk of budget-tightening ahead.

5 August 2025 LatAm Monitor Colombia's BanRep on hold amid fiscal and external uncertainties

  • Sticky core inflation and rising wage risk delay further cuts in Colombia, despite headline disinflation.
  • Governor Villar flagged the worsening public finances; FM Bonilla offered little clarity on budget plans.
  • We expect a shallow easing cycle, with cuts resuming only if inflation risks ease meaningfully.

1 August 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil holds rates steady as tariffs cloud growth and inflation outlook

  • The COPOM kept rates on hold and a cautious tone, highlighting persistent inflation and global risks…
  • …US tariffs raise external threats, but exemptions soften the impact on Brazil’s key export sectors.
  • BCCh resumed its easing cycle with a 25bp cut, signalling a gradual return to neutral if warranted.
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Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,