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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Emerging Asia Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

21 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Latin America's currency rebound aids rate cuts, but tariff fears grow

  • Most regional currencies have rallied on still-attractive carry and resilient terms-of-trade.
  • Trade tensions with the US are reigniting inflation worries and complicating monetary policy decisions.
  • Central banks face narrowing scope for cuts, as political risk and global uncertainty intensify.

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Mexico, May, 2025

  • In one line: Industrial sector stabilises, but outlook remains weak. 

14 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico set to ease cautiously as disinflation advances but risks linger

  • Disinflation resumes in Mexico, but core pressures linger, led by services.
  • External weakness weighs on manufacturing, but interest rate cuts offer relief.
  • Construction rebounds, but trade tensions and weak US demand are a drag on industrial recovery.

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, June, 2025

  • In one line: Core pressures lingering, but disinflation resumes.

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, June, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation falls again; BCCh likely to cut rates.

7 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's manufacturing slumps, but mining shows resilience

  • Durable and capital goods output fell sharply in Brazil, highlighting weakness in domestic demand.
  • Business sentiment and PMIs deteriorated further in June, indicating weaker output in coming quarters.
  • Stable inflation and anchored expectations give BCRP room to stay neutral amid external volatility.

June 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

INCREASED GEOPOLITICAL RISK…

  • …FORCING SOME CENTRAL BANKS TO MOVE TO THE SIDELINES

PM Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, June, 2025

  • In one line: Banxico cuts again, but rising inflation and a split Board signal a slower, more cautious easing cycle ahead.

30 June 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico signals slower data-driven easing, as inflation risks persist

  • Banxico cut, but one dissenting vote signals caution as inflation expectations drift further from the target.
  • Forward guidance was softer; the Board dropped the reference to steady cuts, indicating a possible pause.
  • Weak domestic demand supports disinflation; real rates remain well above neutral.

PM Datanote: Bi-weekly CPI, Mexico, June, 2025

  • In one line: Benign inflation print supports a cautious Banxico rate cut.

23 June 2025 LatAm Monitor COPOM surprises with a final hike and signals a prolonged pause

  • The COPOM defied consensus, raising the Selic to 15.00%, and signalled a hawkish extended pause.
  • Persistent inflation and deanchored expectations are keeping Brazil’s policy tight despite activity slowing.
  • Chile’s BCCh paused again; easing will depend on data amid resilient growth and global headwinds.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,