Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Emerging Asia Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor

21 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Latin America's currency rebound aids rate cuts, but tariff fears grow

  • Most regional currencies have rallied on still-attractive carry and resilient terms-of-trade.
  • Trade tensions with the US are reigniting inflation worries and complicating monetary policy decisions.
  • Central banks face narrowing scope for cuts, as political risk and global uncertainty intensify.

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Mexico, May, 2025

  • In one line: Industrial sector stabilises, but outlook remains weak. 

14 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico set to ease cautiously as disinflation advances but risks linger

  • Disinflation resumes in Mexico, but core pressures linger, led by services.
  • External weakness weighs on manufacturing, but interest rate cuts offer relief.
  • Construction rebounds, but trade tensions and weak US demand are a drag on industrial recovery.

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, June, 2025

  • In one line: Core pressures lingering, but disinflation resumes.

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, June, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation falls again; BCCh likely to cut rates.

7 July 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's manufacturing slumps, but mining shows resilience

  • Durable and capital goods output fell sharply in Brazil, highlighting weakness in domestic demand.
  • Business sentiment and PMIs deteriorated further in June, indicating weaker output in coming quarters.
  • Stable inflation and anchored expectations give BCRP room to stay neutral amid external volatility.

June 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

INCREASED GEOPOLITICAL RISK…

  • …FORCING SOME CENTRAL BANKS TO MOVE TO THE SIDELINES

PM Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, June, 2025

  • In one line: Banxico cuts again, but rising inflation and a split Board signal a slower, more cautious easing cycle ahead.

30 June 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico signals slower data-driven easing, as inflation risks persist

  • Banxico cut, but one dissenting vote signals caution as inflation expectations drift further from the target.
  • Forward guidance was softer; the Board dropped the reference to steady cuts, indicating a possible pause.
  • Weak domestic demand supports disinflation; real rates remain well above neutral.

PM Datanote: Bi-weekly CPI, Mexico, June, 2025

  • In one line: Benign inflation print supports a cautious Banxico rate cut.

23 June 2025 LatAm Monitor COPOM surprises with a final hike and signals a prolonged pause

  • The COPOM defied consensus, raising the Selic to 15.00%, and signalled a hawkish extended pause.
  • Persistent inflation and deanchored expectations are keeping Brazil’s policy tight despite activity slowing.
  • Chile’s BCCh paused again; easing will depend on data amid resilient growth and global headwinds.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,