Latin America Publications
Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)
- In one line: Under pressure, but conditions likely will improve in Q1.
- In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.
- BCCh’s cautious pause reflects sticky core inflation, fragile job data and sensitivity to election-driven noise.
- …Disinflation, a stable CLP and lower energy tariffs will justify a 25bp cut in December.
- Mexico’s GDP shrank in Q3 as industry weakened further and services plateaued; Q4 will be better.
- In one line: On hold, waiting for clearer disinflation.
- In one line: Disinflation anchored by a stronger BRL.
- Mr. Kast has steady support in Chile, but fragmented politics and social tensions cloud reform prospects.
- Macro fundamentals remain sound, though capex weakness limits near-term growth momentum.
- Fiscal credibility and governance will determine the durability of Chile’s post-election market stability.
- In one line: Uneven performance, but risks remain tilted to the downside.
- Mexico’s industrial output fell, as mining and construction wiped out fragile manufacturing gains.
- The job market is cooling and falling remittances are squeezing incomes, hurting private consumption.
- Fiscal stimulus and Banxico rate cuts will cushion growth, but recovery prospects remain fragile.
- In one line: A modest improvement, but risks remain biased to the downside.
- Peru’s Congress has impeached President Boluarte, amid surging crime and collapsing support.
- Interim President Jerí assumes office with a limited mandate; restoring confidence will be a challenge.
- Peru’s economy is holding firm despite the saga, supported by strong institutions and fundamentals.
- In one line: Disinflation holds, but core pressures persist.
- In one line: Signs of modest recovery in August, but the outlook remains fragile.
- A mining accident disrupted output in Chile, hurting activity, while commerce provided stability.
- Fiscal revenues rose on higher royalties and copper prices, though election-year spending risks persist.
- A right-wing political shift would bring business friendly reforms, likely boosting investor confidence.
- In one line: Activity loses momentum in August due mainly to weak mining.
LATAM ACTIVITY WEAKENS AS POLICY STAYS RESTRICTIVE…
- …DISINFLATION ADVANCES, BUT CORE PRESSURES CLOUD OUTLOOK
- In one line: Retail and manufacturing support growth, labour market improving at the margin.
- Monetary policy in Mexico is shifting cautiously, as inflation is sticky and growth prospects weaker.
- The trade deficit widened in August due to the oil sector and tariff-related external uncertainty.
- MXN appreciation and USMCA compliance support stability, despite ongoing external and fiscal risks.
- In one line: Inflation benign despite September uptick.
- In one line: Inflation steady, Banxico set to ease.
- Services and consumption drive growth in Colombia, but weak exports and capex are still limiting.
- Fiscal credibility deteriorates as deficits widen, and the Petro government suspends key safeguards.
- Policy options narrow as inflation expectations rise and political risk builds ahead of the 2026 elections.
